COVID-19 Scenarios

COVID-19 Scenarios simulates the spread of SARS-CoV-2 using an age-structured SEIR model with additional compartments for severe and critical cases to project healthcare demand and intervention effects.

Key Features:

• Age-Structured Modeling: Implements age-specific parameters to model differential susceptibility, severity, and outcomes across demographic groups.
• Severe and Critical Compartments: Extends the SEIR framework with separate compartments for severely and critically ill patients to estimate healthcare burden.
• Infection Control and Mitigation Parameters: Allows specification of measures that reduce transmission rates and age-group specific isolation protocols.
• Customizable Simulations: Supports adjustment of a wide range of epidemiological parameters to explore alternative scenarios and hypotheses.
• Client-Side Execution and Data Export: Runs simulations client-side and provides export of parameter settings and simulation results for further analysis.

Scientific Applications:

• Healthcare Demand Projection: Projects hospital and critical care needs by incorporating severe and critical case compartments.
• Intervention Assessment: Evaluates the impact of transmission-reducing measures and age-specific isolation on epidemic trajectories.
• Demographic-Targeted Analysis: Quantifies age-specific outcomes to inform targeted public health responses.

Methodology:

Uses an age-structured SEIR epidemiological model augmented with compartments for severe and critical cases, with adjustable transmission rates and age-specific isolation measures; simulations execute on the client side.